New Poll Shows Biden with Slight Edge over Trump
A recent poll conducted among registered voters nationwide reveals that former Vice President Joe Biden is in a virtual tie with former U.N. ambassador and former South Carolina Gov. in a hypothetical general election matchup. The poll, conducted from Jan. 29 to Feb. 1, indicates that if the presidential election were held today, Biden would edge Trump 48% to 47%, with 5% of respondents unsure.
Biden Holds a Slim Lead over Trump in Recent National Polls
An average of the most recent national polls, compiled by Real Clear Politics, shows Biden with a slight 1.7 point edge over the incumbent in the White House, in a head-to-head race. However, this lead remains within the margin of error, indicating a highly competitive race.
Potential Impact of Criminal Conviction on Biden’s Lead
Interestingly, the new Marist poll suggests that if Trump were convicted on criminal charges, Biden’s lead would increase to six points, with a 51% to 45% margin. Furthermore, Trump’s advantage with independent voters would shrink from eight points to two. Surprisingly, nearly one in 10 Republicans claim they would support Biden in this scenario.
Trump’s Popularity among Republican Voters Despite Indictments
Last year, Trump made history as the first former or current president to be indicted for a crime. However, his four indictments, including charges related to overturning his 2020 presidential election loss to Biden, have actually bolstered his support among Republican voters.
Trump Remains Frontrunner for GOP Nomination
As Trump makes his third straight bid for the White House, he continues to dominate the race for the GOP nomination. Winning the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary by double digits, Trump is the commanding frontrunner. While former ambassador remains the last major rival to Trump, her chances of securing the nomination appear challenging.
Tight Race between Biden and Haley in Hypothetical November Showdown
In a hypothetical November showdown, the poll indicates that Biden would receive 46% of the vote, while former ambassador would secure 45%. These results reflect the closeness of the race and the uncertainty that lies ahead.
The poll surveyed 1,441 people, with an overall sampling error of plus or minus 3.6 percent.